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danwarren

Illusory aegis

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https://s3.postimg.org/4wqo6hmmr/nato1.jpg

The quality of preliminary analysis determines whether the strategic decision made is wright or wrong, while the quality of preliminary analysis itself depends mainly on the information sufficiency.  Otherwise it will be like in the joke: optimism owes its birth just to lack of information.  It seems at times that wild enthusiasm of Eastern European proselytes of North Atlantic Alliance is due to some anecdotic shortage of data. It's something very hard to believe in actually, for all the NATO charter documents are available in open access. Thus, the lust for "ninja four-rayed star" can be only explained with the very low intellectual level of the national analytics and advisors. Now, we should delve into details of this sensitive theme.

Well, what do small countries of East Europe want to get in exchange for the onerous obligation of increasing their national defense expenditure? Definitely, this is some shield to stay safe.... from some hypothetical Russian threat. European mass media long ago placed Russia into the cluster of "cosmic scale aggressors".  Alright, let it be some sort of defense then. What kind of defense may it turn out to be? The devil is in the detail, and it can be found during simple reading of Article 5 of the NATO Charter. Here's the actual text of it:

"The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defense recognized by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually or in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area. Any such armed attack and all the measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council. Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures to restore and maintain international peace and security".  
    
Shall be considered, as it deems necessary
– it's the classical European red tape. Let's translate it into clearer language. NATO European component will be drowsily chewing terminological gum and painfully seek some consensus in the wording while the tanks of the hypothetical enemy will be  ironing the capitals of Eastern European members of this club for gentlemen. It's high time all the participants of this club party, especially those waiting in the queue outside, got the point at last. NATO is no guarantor of any defense and immediate joint smashing backstroke.

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