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Jostler

Poking the Bear

227 posts in this topic

Hat tip to Talon who posted this video to another thread.  I'm preserving it here as well for posterity.  This may turn out to be a seminal event in our march toward WWIII  :/

 

This tends to support the basic premise I started with which is Putin being provoked, forced into a corner until he initiates the war these elites want so badly.

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Putin sends “Chechen” special operation forces to Syria

 

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...other reason why these two battalions have been sent to Syria is to directly participate in combat operations against the Takfiris.  We know that Putin sent some secret letter to Iranian President Rouhani.  Could it be to coordinate a surge in Russian and Iranian operations in Syria?  If so, then sending in the “Chechen” special forces would make sense, especially to keep the Turks at bay if and when needed.

Whatever may be the case, the decision to send in the “Chechens” is clearly a major development and the sign that something important is being prepared.

 

 

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Russia sees US decision to supply MANPADS to militants in Syria as ‘hostile move’

Once these are out in the "wild" they can't be recovered.  Where they end up cannot be controlled.  When these start showing up at the ends of US airport runways, I sincerely hope we'll remember Obama.  For now it's just another complication our lame duck seems intent on leaving in his wake. 

If Syrian and Russian planes (or more likely helicopters) go down because of this, there will probably be consequences.

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a nice "deeper look" at MAD and why Putin is being forced to consider attacking first.

Eric Zuesse: America’s Secret Planned Conquest Of Russia

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This concept became respectable in U.S. academic and governmental policymaking circles when virtually simultaneously in 2006 a short-form and a long-form version of an article endorsing the concept, which the article’s two co-authors there named “nuclear primacy,” were published respectively in the world’s two most influential journals of international affairs, Foreign Affairs from the Council on Foreign Relations, and International Security from Harvard. (CFR got the more popular short version, titled “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy”, and Harvard got the more scholarly long version, which was titled “The End of MAD?”.)

 

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CVN - 70 Carl Vinson leaves San Diego today for the West Pacific, so we have one out of ten carriers under way and on assignment.  The rest apparently remain in home ports.

https://news.usni.org/2017/01/03/carl-vinson-strike-group-leaves-week-western-pacific-deployment

US activity in Syria is showing an uptick with a reported B-52 strike south of Mosul in Iraq, and a commando raid to kill/capture ISIS leaders executed near Raqqa in Syria.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/pentagon-sends-legendary-b-52-bomber-action-against-182402057.html

The cease fire arranged by Russia, Turkey and Iran is still being punctuated by heavy fighting with fac tions that didn't participate, including fighting for the springs to the west of Damascus that supply that city of 5 million with clean water.  Water to Damascus has been cut off for two weeks now.

 

Edited by Jostler

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The Syrian/Russian/Turkish coalition appear to be gaining some momentum in Syria.  Several, simultaneous attacks are in progress and apparently gaining ground.  Progress has been slow but steady in regaining control of Damascus' water supply in the mountains west of the city.  A new attack to the west of Damascus appears to be taking ground.  New pushes to the west of Aleppo City and efforts to reunite two divided areas of Syrian control around Deir ez-Zoar appear to be progressing after several weeks of near stalemate conditions.

Russia, Iran and Turkey are currently holding a meeting in Astana, Kazhakstan which is expected to wind up tomorrow...today for them.  It will be interesting to see what agreement they actually sign, but I suspect they will have identified the "moderates" who refuse to negotiate and we may well see a lot more Iranian military actively engaged in Syria.

Saudi Arabia and the globalists in general will not appreciate seeing any of this develop.  A renewed sense of purpose out  of Astana + the potential for deeper Iranian involvement  may serve to bolster the momentum that already seems to be developing.  We may see an increase in the intensity and speed of developments in Syria in the next few days.

There are also reports of infighting among different terrorist factions along the Turkish border and in Al-Bab, another area under pressure from Syrian army advances.  If the Sunni/Wahabbi extremists and their globalist sponsors are going to salvage .any of their goals in the area, it appears they will need to move quickly.

Southfront has a number of short videos I think are helpful.  If anyone wants to watch the top row there at the link it is probably reliable enough information to at least consider.  I've watched Southfront's work for several months and have yet to catch them purposely propagandizing.  As with any reports out of there a healthy dose of skepticism is a good thing :) 

Going forward, Al-Bab, Raqqa and Deir ez-Zoar pretty much represent the three main ISIS strongholds.  Palmyra is more symbolically important than strategic, but it too plays a role.

Head on a swivel....developments appear to have accelerated and it may provoke a reaction.  I'm grateful Trump is now overseeing our own involvement instead of the rat we just sent scurrying back to his hole.

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Correction.  I'd posted a video as recent information but later realized it was from autumn last year.   deleted

Edited by Jostler

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For the last couple of weeks, it has appeared that Syria (Assad) has been gaining  momentum in his fight  against the rebels and ISIS.  I've been watching  pretty carefully and this latest report gave me the confidence to believe it's a trend.

In mid-December, rebels took control of Wadi Barrada, which is where Damascus (5 million people) get their water.  The rebels first dumped diesel into the water and then destroyed the pumping infrastructure around a series of springs, cutting off water to Damascus for well over a month now.  The reports of Assad making progress in retaking the springs has been steady for two weeks now and this appears to clinch it.

 

Other signs of momentum are showing with Syrian Army progress against ISIS positions north of Aleppo, a push toward retaking Palmyra again, repelling a strong attack on a supply route into Aleppo, and progress in reuniting a divided sector of Deir Ez-Zoar which has had an important airfield there under threat for month or more. 

But the development  I find most interesting is infighting among  the rebels in the province of Idlib.  About 8 different factions are duking it out for control of the Turkish border crossings through which all manner of aid, weapons and men flow into Syria. 

Trump has unequivocally stated that ISIS needs to be destroyed, and if we cease our  support of them, their days are well and truly numbered.  If the supply of weapons and men being provided by Quatar, Turkey and Saudi Arabia ceases it won't take long at all for ISIS to be headed back into Iraq with their tails between their legs.  And things are not going well for them in Mosul either, with the larger eastern half of that city pretty much secured by the Iraqis.  A sudden collapse  of resistance in the western half is looking likely.

The globalists plans for Syria are seriously endangered, which is both  good and bad.  Be on the lookout for false flag incidents intended to make Russia or Iran look like aggressors.  Their plans are in disarray and the globalists are going  to have to do something dramatic to rescue them.

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The impression that Assad has the momentum at the moment continues to gain evidence.  The factional infighting among the rebels in Idlib appears to have calmed some, with numerous militias aligning into two main camps now, one backed by Turkey and another under Saudi/Quatari influence.  The best guess at why they are uniting and rebranding themselves would be they are preparing for more negotiation and less fighting, a sign that they're beginning to recognize they're not going to achieve their goals by military means.   Water has begun flowing to Damascus from Wadi Barrada, apparently confirming Assad's control there.

Raqqa, Deir Ez-Zoar,  Al Bab (aka Idlib province), and Mosul (in Iraq) are the last remaining ISIS strongholds with significant populations and all are under pressure.  Palmyra is also under pressure but of less strategic importance.

 

Here's a bit deeper look for those wanting to dig deeper.  Listen critically with awareness of whose interests are being represented by each participant as always, but it helps with understanding the big picture a bit better.  The American seemed to be the least biased in this case.

 

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